I think 10x is a reasonable long term goal, given continued improvements in models, agentic systems, tooling, and proper use of them.
It’s close already for some use cases, for example understanding a new code base with the help of cursor agent is kind of insane.
We’ve only had these tools for a few years, and I expect software development will be unrecognizable in ten more.
Essentially, yes. Great point! I think it needs more features to function more like a social network (transitive topic-based sharing, for one)
Hah, I designed one as well!
I think the flow of information has to be fundamentally different.
In mine, people only receive data directly from people they know and trust in real life. This makes scaling easy, and makes it impossible for centralized entities to broadcast propaganda to everyone at once.
I described it at freetheinter.net if you’re interested
the issue is that foreign companies aren’t subject to US copyright law, so if we hobble US AI companies, our country loses the AI war
I get that AI seems unfair, but there isn’t really a way to prevent AI scraping (domestic and foreign) aside from removing all public content on the internet
Sorry for the late reply - work is consuming everything :)
I suspect that we are (like LLMs) mostly “sophisticated pattern recognition systems trained on vast amounts of data.”
Considering the claim that LLMs have “no true understanding”, I think there isn’t a definition of “true understanding” that would cleanly separate humans and LLMs. It seems clear that LLMs are able to extract the information contained within language, and use that information to answer questions and inform decisions (with adequately tooled agents). I think that acquiring and using information is what’s relevant, and that’s solved.
Engaging with the real world is mostly a matter of tooling. Real-time learning and more comprehensive multi-modal architectures are just iterations on current systems.
I think it’s quite relevant that the Turing Test has essentially been passed by machines. It’s our instinct to gatekeep intellect, moving the goalposts as they’re passed in order to affirm our relevance and worth, but LLMs have our intellectual essence, and will continue to improve rapidly while we stagnate.
There is still progress to be made before we’re obsolete, but I think it will be just a few years, and then it’s just a question of cost efficiency.
Anyways, we’ll see! Thanks for the thoughtful reply
niche communities are still struggling due to the chicken-and-egg problem (and reddit dominance), but it’s improving
if there is a party, it’s about lemmy’s inevitable growth amidst reddit enshittification
relative to where we were before LLMs, I think we’re quite close
the extent that Trump has gone to remove barriers to committing atrocities likely corresponds to the extent he intends to commit them
With an optimum design, bipedal robots are likely more power efficient. Read up on the efficiency of the human gait to understand why.
In practice though, it’s really challenging to get an optimum design (the current state of the art is not even close), so polypeds are better from a practicality standpoint.
Totally agree - RoR is one of my all time favorites. Its strategic elegance and style just didn’t survive the translation to 3D
1800 hours in Noita. Just last week started what’s become a perfect god run (circle of vigor and transmuted all polymorphing liquids) to get the golden necklace and consider it beaten.
Really funny that this game isn’t even on anyone else’s list. I guess I really am special, haha
A great auto-battler released just this year named The Gnorp Apologue!
Your role is relatively passive, but a little time investment is required for progress.
It’s really just the DMCA.
This kind of faultless takedown shouldn’t be legal, but the DMCA carved it out decades ago.
Russians will be granted amnesty because of their willingness to accept our deportations into their labor camps.
I use various models on a daily basis (as a software/infrastructure developer), and can say that the reason they are able to sell AI is that it’s really useful.
Like any tool, you have to work with its strengths and weaknesses, and it’s very much a matter of “shit in, shit out.”
For example, it can easily get confused with complicated requests, so they must be narrowly focused. Breaking large problems down into smaller ones is a normal part of problem solving, so this doesn’t detract from its utility.
Also, it sometimes just makes shit up, so it’s absolutely necessary to thoroughly test everything it outputs. Test-driven development has been around for a long time, so that’s not really a problem either.
It’s more of a booksmart intern assistant than a professional software engineer, but used in this way it’s a great productivity booster.
A companion generator for God.
noita
I’m closing in on 2000 hours, and it’s such a great game if you like challenges and discovery.
I started playing it after one of the devs said, “I don’t think anyone will ever make another game like it.”
It’s a terrific implementation of a very pure concept.
I really hope that, despite the development challenge it may present, “noitalike” becomes a thing.
I think it’s an engine that would integrate really well with ML world/asset generation, too.
Programmers don’t have the luxury of using inferior toolsets.
but for how long?
yeah, I think the OP’s take is really naive
the tools and models will get a lot better, but more importantly the end products that succeed will make measured, judicious use of AI.
there always has been slop, and people will always misuse tools and create abominations, but the heights of greatness that are possible are increasing with AI, not decreasing