• @Samskara@sh.itjust.works
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    2 days ago

    Pretty good analysis, but focuses too much on oil. It will be a mix of Israeli air strikes and special operations in one direction and long range missiles, drones, and proxy forces in the other.

    Israel‘s ability to defend against Iranian drones and missiles was very good last time around. Jordan shoots down anything Iranian in their airspace they can, supporting Israel‘s defense in effect.

    Saudi Arabia, Turkey

    And most other countries in the region are very happy Israel fights Iran‘s ability to build nuclear weapons. That way they can keep their hand clean.

    If Iran gets nukes, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Egypt, and others would want nukes very urgently as well.

    The Saudis especially are glad Israel degraded Iran‘s proxy forces in the region. Even the new Syrian government owes its success in part to Israel clapping Hezbollah hard.

    The only ones mad at Israel in this case are the ones who hate Israel‘s existence and everything they do out of principle.

    • @supersquirrel@sopuli.xyz
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      11 day ago

      The only ones mad at Israel in this case are the ones who hate Israel‘s existence and everything they do out of principle.

      Literally anyone with a functioning heart right now is already existentially mad with Israel… everywhere… ALL OVER THE WORLD.

      Nothing you speculate about will change that, the only thing that can happen is a massive rise in genuine anti-semitism because centrists and neolibs like you won’t have an honest discussion about being complicit in the silence surrounding a genocide and crazy batshit rightwing conservatives then get to dominate the conversation… which is extremely dangerous.