@nothingcorporate@lemmy.world to World News@lemmy.worldEnglish • 2 years agoWe just survived the hottest 36 days ever recordedlemmy.worldimagemessage-square140arrow-up11.18Kfile-text
arrow-up11.18KimageWe just survived the hottest 36 days ever recordedlemmy.world@nothingcorporate@lemmy.world to World News@lemmy.worldEnglish • 2 years agomessage-square140file-text
Source toot: https://mas.to/@advisorybriefs/110872259818869083 Data source: https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/t2_daily/
minus-square@TropicalDingdong@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkEnglish4•edit-22 years agoAny thoughts on how I could incorporate that for a better back of the napkin? (Also, that number is only consider that the number presented was based on 7 independent events, not 34)
minus-square@bloodfoot@programming.devlinkfedilinkEnglish3•2 years agoIf we stick with your 1/44 assumption, we can then assume 50% chance that the following day will also be a record setting day (probably too low still but the math is easier). Your one week estimate would be (1/44)*(1/2)^6.
Any thoughts on how I could incorporate that for a better back of the napkin?
(Also, that number is only consider that the number presented was based on 7 independent events, not 34)
If we stick with your 1/44 assumption, we can then assume 50% chance that the following day will also be a record setting day (probably too low still but the math is easier). Your one week estimate would be (1/44)*(1/2)^6.